We are now --> http://www.gemesysresearch.com Transitioning to AWS (Amazon Web Services) remains an ongoing, annoying work-in-progress.
** NOTE**; AI forecasts UPDATED - now as of: *** 03-Feb-2025 *** , page down this page to see charts. **
Beware, folks! World is mad, and almost nothing and no-one can be trusted. :)
[ The Curious Nature of War. It Brings Rapid Technological Improvement ]
I did this drawing of a German ME-109, when I was about 12 years old, and was sick in bed with
some awful flu or something. I drew it directly from a small plastic model I had made.
The key thing about intense warfare, is how it brings out the best and the worst in people.
We get terrible, absurd murder exercises and mindless, tragic violence. But we also get
extreme, rapid and significant technological uplift and useful, actionable positive
technological change. The impressive aircraft of World War Two, were developed in the
1930's, less than 35 years after Wright Brothers made the first powered flight at Kitty Hawk.
The Spitfires and the P-51 Lightenings and the ME-109 and ME-262 were impressive
technological developments. The radar-equipped, twin-engine "Mosquito" fighter (made mostly from spruce
plywood!) was able to intercept and destroy - at NIGHT - incoming German aircraft over
England. We get these interesting developments from the wars. British surgeons, operating on the
damaged eyes of pilots who had gotten splinters of plexiglass embedded in them, discovered that
the human eye would tolerate plexiglass plastic. From that discovery, the medical science of
treatment for cataracts was developed. The fogged natural lens is removed from the eye, and
a synthetic lens is installed, which allows a near-blind person to regain their sight. Both
my brother and my partner have undergone this procedure, and both have had their vision
restored.
War can have curious positive benefits. But it can also kill our families and friends, and
reduce to rubble, our lovely cities. Many European cities were completely destroyed in
World War Two. But we suspect World War Three will target USA and Russia - and possibly
China. It will probably be started by accident, or by deliberate subterfuge, on the part
of a not-powerful, but very angry third party. If Trump is removed by a sniper's bullet,
and USA decides to "obliterate" Iran, Russia may be compelled by treaty obligations to
respond. The sniper might be an angry USA ex-government employee, and the launch codes may
be triggered by one angry man (or woman?) with professional military training.
A hundred years from now, what pictures will kids be drawing?
Research log updates:... (click "Research Log" above to jump to the log-page)
[Feb. 14, 2025] - Grand Illusion and Black, Black Hearts
[Feb. 12, 2025] - Weather From Hell
[Feb. 07, 2025] - In the Deep, Deep Mud...
[Feb. 06, 2025] - In-Sanity In-Charge?
[Feb. 05, 2025] - Changes
[Feb. 04, 2025] - Life in the End Times? Perhaps.
[Feb. 03, 2025] - Donald Trump Attempts to Destroy the North American Economy. Hilarious!
[Feb. 02, 2025] - The Time of The Great Stupid!
[Feb. 01, 2025] - A Comedy of Errors
[Jan. 31, 2025] - Cute Winter Boots And The Drop-Toad
[Jan. 30, 2025] - Crazy Dancing IP Numbers!
[Jan. 29, 2025] - Enjoy Yourself, It's Later Than You Think!
[Jan. 27, 2025] - DeepSeek R1 for US! (Deepshit for Big-Tech Monopolists?)
[Jan. 26, 2025] - The Lure of the Unreal
[Jan. 24, 2025] - Astronomy
[Jan. 23, 2025] - Ta Ra Ra BOOM Dee, Eh? (Throne of Blood)
[Jan. 22, 2025] - Eaten By Eighths - A Ranting Full Stop...
[Jan. 21, 2025] - Rain On The Windshield Heading South
[Jan. 19, 2025] - Senses Working Overtime?
[Jan. 17, 2025] - The Hard-Wired Drop-Toad
[Jan. 16, 2025] - Molly Malone Works Alone
[Jan. 15, 2025] - May The Wind Take Your Bubbles Away!
[Jan. 13, 2025] - The Incredible Shrinking Internet
[Jan. 09, 2025] - Reviewing the "Enron Egg" - Portable Household Level Nuclear Reactor + Generator
[Jan. 07, 2025] - The Big Barkers of the "Big Tech" Grift
[Jan. 03, 2025] - Flaming Zepplins, Running 7's
[Jan. 01, 2025] - Back Online. We were knocked off by some sort of AWS (Amazon Web Services) policy
change or something, which prevented login to AWS Console, and also prevented access to our EC2 instance.
(our virtual server, running our website.) As of New Year's Day, it all
seems to be working again. I had planned to re-factor this messy website over the holidays, but lost
AWS access as of Christmas Eve. So much for "Cloud". We run local AI's, and wow - is local-system
operation the only way to go. If you surrender your control to some remote technical service, you
are taking a serious risk. See "Research Log" for more details...
[Dec. 24, 2024] - It Came Upon A Midnight Clear
[Dec. 20, 2024] - Your Baby's Gone Down the Plug-Hole
[Dec. 19, 2024] - Error 404 => Future Failure!
[Dec. 17-18, 2024] - Electro-Curious
[Dec. 16, 2024] - Are You Experienced?
[Dec. 12, 2024] - Cyber-Truckin! Really! I'm Most Grateful To Be Not Dead!
[Dec. 11, 2024] - Wayfaring Stranger
[Dec. 10, 2024] - Both Mother and Daughter
[Dec. 06, 2024] - Phasers on Stun
[Dec. 05, 2024] - On The Beach With Suzanne
[Dec. 04, 2024] - Getting It In the Ear - cf. Iggy Pop
[Dec. 03, 2024] - Green Onions - Roasted Or Fried
[Nov. 28, 2024] - Happy Thanksgiving (and a Note on Civil War)
[Nov. 25, 2024] - Atomic Balm
[Nov. 19, 2024] - Hey! Ho! - And Up She Rises!
[Nov. 18, 2024] - Riverboat Gambling...
[Nov. 17, 2024] - Member's Only (It's a Private Party)
[Nov. 15, 2024] - "Swingin'" - by Tom Petty
[Nov. 14, 2024] - Wild World ("Dreamscape Injection")
[Nov. 13, 2024] - Let's Do the (Linux) Time Warp Again!
[Nov. 12, 2024] - Walk the Dog
[Nov. 11, 2024] - Resilience Continued - How I Fixed CentOS-7 and Xorg Server So it Worked Again...
[Nov. 10, 2024] - Astrolabs and Resilience
[Nov. 07, 2024] - Hanging on the Telephone (or from the Telephone?)
[Nov. 06, 2024] - Venus on a Lox and Bagel... or Cities Aflame?
[Nov. 05, 2024] - Child (Just) In Time
[Nov. 04, 2024] - London Bridge is Falling Down
[Nov. 01, 2024] - A Plea in Favour of Market Transparency
[Oct. 31, 2024] - Leverage, Debt and the Floating World of Finance
[Oct. 29, 2024] - Samsung Galaxy Tab A9+ is actually pretty good. VLC works well.
[Oct. 27, 2024] - My Android Apps Loaded on new Samsung Tab A9+ ... Whoo-hoo!
[Oct. 25, 2024] - Clickbait and Real Estate
[Oct. 24, 2024] - The Astonishing Enshitification of Google's Android!
[Oct. 23, 2024] - The Golden Mean (and the Meaning of Gold)
[Oct. 22, 2024] - I Don't Like Mondays...
[Oct. 17, 2024] - Food and Money...
[Oct. 15-16, 2024] - Swim Out Past the Breakers...
[Oct. 09, 2024] - Desolation Row (And The Skank of Nova Scotia?)
[Oct. 08, 2024] - Dr. Geoffery Hinton Wins the Nobel Prize in Physics! Congratulations!
[Oct. 07, 2024] - A Note for You Who Seek the Truth.
[Oct. 06, 2024] - Elon Musk's Speech with Trump in PA. (You gotta watch this...)
[Oct. 05, 2024] - Amazon & EC2 (and this site!) working fine, and now https:// works...
[Oct. 01, 2024] - Fields of Regret?
[Sep. 27, 2024] - Message from the Lizard Brain
[Sep. 26, 2024] - The Devil's Blues (and the Mean-Reds, maybe?)
[Sep. 23, 2024] - Klatu, barada nicto, eh?
[Sep. 17-20, 2024] - Endless Summer
[Sep. 13, 2024] - Run... (Away?)
[Sept. 7, 2024] - Updated the GEMESYS AI projections for our main holding (see below)
[Sept. 6, 2024] - Robots Waving Arms
[Sept. 5, 2024] - Blue Skies
[Sept. 4, 2024] - Rover-Packs?
[Aug. 29, 2024] - Risk is Real
[Aug. 28, 2024] - Sheena is a Punk Rocker
[Aug. 23-24, 2024] - DDG versus Google, How Canada Got Born, Free Trade
[Aug. 22, 2024] - Long or Wrong...
[Aug. 21, 2024] - The Real War of the Coloured Swans
[Aug. 20, 2024] - Rather Hope I'm Wrong...
[Aug. 18, 2024] - The Plan for the Destruction of America?
[Aug. 17, 2024] - Worst Case Degenerate Economcy
[Aug. 16, 2024] - Debt Growth and De-coupling
[Aug. 12, 2024] - Insanity?
[Aug. 7, 2024] - Astronomy
[Aug. 6, 2024] - Markets Fibrillate. October Re-Pricing Expected. War-costs coming.
[Aug. 5, 2024] - Madness of Crowds Accelerates
[Aug. 1st, 2024] - A Very Good Speech
[July 30, 2024] - Overvaluation & The Best Trade Ever
[July 27, 2024] - Wheeee!
[July 25, 2024] - October Surprise?
[July 24, 2024] - Everything's Turning to Shit.
[July 23, 2024] - The Kamala Malady of Malfunctioning Malinvestments
[July 22, 2024] - The Essence of Science
[Update: 16:09 July 21, 2024] Just heard Biden dropped out. Our forecast was off by one day.
[July 21, 2024] - Hey Joe! Where You Going With That Ballot-box in Your Hand?
[July 19, 2024] - Sad Idiots at Crowdstrike Manage to Strike the Whole World, in Mass-Stupidity Deployment
[July 18, 2024] - "Tomorrow Belongs to Me!" (says the Maker-Kid with a Lathe, a Circuit-Board, and a Soldering Iron... )
[July 13, 2024] - Trump shot at rally in Butler Pennsylvania. Stood up, with blood on face and neck. Raised his fist.
[July 11-12, 2024 update:] AI projections negative, but trumped by mild inflation print.
The "Research Log" button has - the research log! You can follow our Perilous Experiments.
With the research log, and our videos, You can follow our Perilous Experiments!
Remember: "Vita Brevis, Ars Longa, Ocassio Praeceps, Experimentum Periculosum & Iudicium Difficile." (Trans: Life is short, Mastering the Art takes a Long Time, Opportunity is Fleeting and Falls Away Easily, Experimentation is Dangerous, and Judgement is Difficult.)
Page down to page-bottom, to see our forecasts from our AI, for one of our main holdings. The AI works better than the humans, which is
why AI is so popular. Humans are bad investors. They sell at the lows, and buy at the tops. The AI-driven model can do the opposite, since it has
no emotions. Simple as that, it is. [Update: New Projection as of March 19st, 2024 - page down to view]
More changes. This is our custom-built Python/NumPy based backpropagating neural-network, fabricated using the
matrix-math features of Python (works in both 2.7 and 3.x versions), and here
shows now a 5000-epoch training run, with completely different dataset.
Graphics show messy training that climbs with poro-poro (raining-down) drop-falls.
Although the model trains in a messy way, sliding
far off the optimum curve, it holds, and trains effectively. We can now get 80% accuracy, using an
economically restricted network, and retraining batchs allow overall accuracy to track around 70%,
which is good. And we can replicate the results - it is not just due to fortunate initial random weight
assignments.
(Click image to expand, ESC to exit (or click a hidden X at top right corner of image to close it)).
Everything Going to the Dogs...
I like dogs. Dogs that have been raised in a loving home have an honest beauty that is fine and refreshing. Even
dogs that have had hard lives, can be saved and helped. Be good to your dogs. They have real
integrity within their honest souls. Rescue a dog if you can. Dogs are good. And Lilly is lovely also!
[ Picture of Lily ... ]
Here is a picture of me and Lily, the Big Dog who is just a fine girl. She is so pretty!
She belongs to a friend and his partner, who have the big House of Perfect Beauty, in the
most lovely part of God's Country. Lily likes me, and I like her. But she is quite big for the lap. :)
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
[ The new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, o/s: Android-14, running the GEMESYS APL to produce the Mandelbrot Set graphic. ]
This shows the new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, running the GEMESYS APL, to produce an image of the Mandelbrot Set. The
image took over an hour to generate (the APL runs an emulator, on an emulator, under an emulator, so it is not
lightening fast. But the numbers are correct. Whoo hoo! The various GEMESYS APL's can be downloaded from the
GEMESYS Github site, and with "adb", the .apk files can still be loaded onto modern Android systems, if the
parameter "--bypass-low-target-sdk-block" is used. Assuming "adb" (running on your P/C under Linux or Windows)
reports a device name such as: R92X305A6JK, when you enter "./adb devices" to get a list of attached devices, then,
you can enter the "adb" command:
to load the .apk file. Note that R92X305A6JK is the device name, which will be different for each device.
There are two good APL's offered by GEMESYS Ltd, which are free, have no tracking, and no "in-app" adverts
or purchase trickery. They are experimental/educational software for learning purposes. The other
APL that is good, is the old I.P. Sharp APL, called: sAPL-release.apk. The APL .apk files and DOSbox can
be downloaded from the GEMESYS Github software repository. Here is the link below:
There is also a GNUplot Ver. 37, for quicky charting on your Android device, (Try: "Plot sin(x)" to demo it) and also
a version of DOSbox, which can be
downloaded and then installed with a USB tether to the Samsung Tab 9A+, using "adb", the "Android Debug Bridge" software.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
Click on the ** Research log ** button at top of page for more notes on our "Dismal-Science" view of things.
GEMESYS Ltd. Research & Consulting: We Live in Truth, Offer Enlightenment and if your projects and plans
are in trouble, we can help you Change the Program!. Make new choices while you still have freedom of action!
GEMESYS Ltd Research - *Fiat Lux*
...
[Feb. 04, 2025] - The Time of Madness ... The MPM medium-freq predictor is still pointing down,
but much less than it was. It was almost straight down, now has shifted to a just modest drift lower.
This is not to be considered an exercise in investment advice. Make your own decisions, please.
Banks in Canada risk-manage reasonably well, and have been paying roughly 40% to 50% of
their earnings out as dividends for a long time, so for low-to-mid-risk investors, they are pretty much
the best local game in town, if one wants to avoid currency risk. But the World is going crazy.
The drivers of this accelerating madness, is unclear. Perhaps it was the Covid-19 virus, and/or the mass
vaccine efforts? We do not know.
And yet in history, one sees these periods of collective insanity. It's actually pretty common. The
"Cultural Revolution" in China is a good example (again, we did direct research and know of what we
speak when we say it was pure insanity), and also the "French Revolution", where a similar madness took
control of an entire nation, and mass-murder became a political and cultural project. The rise of
European fascism in the 1930's, all across Europe (not just Germany), is another example, as is the
rise of the economic and totalitarian madness that was Marxist Communism. (England was not immune.
The rise of Oliver Cromwell, the rabid-moralistic "Pikers", the execution of King Charles the First,
and the English civil war that induced the initial colonization efforts to America, appears to be
another example.) Whole nations can go crazy, it seems.
(Click on any Image to expand it, ESC to exit image-expansion.)
[Feb. 04, 2025] - The AI's have been negative. The 7s Hi-freq. predictor is now pointing very slightly up.
These days, things are VERY unclear. We have **Political** risk like we have never had it before.
We also have a technical pattern that is strange - two huge air-gaps well above the 72 level, but a
classical "head-and-shoulders" pattern that is not good. The AI is actually calling for a constructive path,
which is unexpected.
This information is not "Investment or Trading Advice". It is simply an honest reporting of our research efforts.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)