We are now --> http://www.gemesysresearch.com Transitioning to AWS (Amazon Web Services) remains an ongoing, annoying work-in-progress.
** NOTE**; AI forecasts UPDATED - now as of: *** 03-Feb-2025 *** , page down this page to see charts. **
After the Donald-War, I have updated the AI Forecasts here. Banks have been trading ugly, and BNS especially so. It's sad.
The AI has been pointed down since the $79 high. The AI does a better job than me,
at calling the future price-evolution path. It is surprisingly prescient. Disturbingly so,
truth be told. The violent price-action downbursts in our portfolio of what we expected to be "low risk"
investments, has been comically awful. World is mad, and almost nothing and no-one can be trusted. :)
You can see the insane action of our BNS holding in this chart. The stock did not even open for trading at 9:30am. (It was several
minutes delayed, probably due to order imbalance.)
It finally opened at 68, down from over 74. It was like some sort of insane, toxic shock - all from Dirty Donald, the
Great Buffoon. Complete madness - absolutely and completely stupid in the extreme.
[ EDITORIAL -- Feb, 4 2025 ] - Life in the End Times? Perhaps...
Time for some changes. We've got to cancel those American contracts, regardless. Can't trust those folks. We are supposedly on the hook for over 70 F-35's, expensive, unreliable US-made fighter aircraft which regularly drop like stones from the sky. It's a bad aircraft anyway. The current plan is truly insane. We can do a deal with Saab of Sweden, who actually made a committment to build the aircraft that we wanted - right here in Canada!
Given the fucktard nature of US politics, and the stupid bastard that is currently acting in the role of US President, we cannot and must not be dependent on these people whose word cannot be trusted. If they can tear up their contracts with us over trade, then we cannot and must not purchase their stupid unreliable military aircraft. The bastards might include backdoor-code to disable the goddamn things, in the event that their trade-war becomes a hot-war with us. Up until 1934, Canada's national defense strategy was built upon careful assessment of threats from US-initiated incursions into our country. We really need to revisit this line of analysis, given the stupid bozo that is now resting his fat arse in the Maison Blanche.
NATO should be re-thought. The entire concept is questionable. Why should we commit our military to assisting a bunch of hard-core totalitarian German Leftists who censor and degrade their own people? The new "Green Nazi" folks of Leftist Germany are abusive and dishonest fanatics who are trying to ban their own political parties - the AfD, for example. AfD - "Alternative for Germany" is a moderate, mainline party, supported by at least 35% of the German people. The current German Leftist Government wants to actually ban this political Party, just because it advocates to limit Muslim immigration. The current Leftist German Government is an anti-democratic collection of abusive fanatics. And having a military promise to assist these folks is completely unacceptable. There is no real democracy in Germany now. The place is a broken State, sadly. NATO is a relic of the last century. If Germany does not want to have Russian overlords, then they need to fund their defense efforts for themselves. The USA cannot be trusted. And we should not even be involved in this.
We here in Canada need to re-think everything now. The current Canadian Government at the Federal level is a bad joke. It is a collection of failures and pocket-fillers. But when we get a new Federal Government, we need to make certain it does not accept American fraudsterism and the rank dishonesty of American political agents. These folks CANNOT be trusted. They do not keep their promises. We cannot afford the dependency that using their questionable, poorly-designed military hardware will entail. Simple risk-management requires we adjust our plans immediately and directly.
Research log updates:... (click "Research Log" above to jump to the log-page)
[Feb. 04, 2025] - Life in the End Times? Perhaps.
[Feb. 03, 2025] - Donald Trump Attempts to Destroy the North American Economy. Hilarious!
[Feb. 02, 2025] - The Time of The Great Stupid!
[Feb. 01, 2025] - A Comedy of Errors
[Jan. 31, 2025] - Cute Winter Boots And The Drop-Toad
[Jan. 30, 2025] - Crazy Dancing IP Numbers!
[Jan. 29, 2025] - Enjoy Yourself, It's Later Than You Think!
[Jan. 27, 2025] - DeepSeek R1 for US! (Deepshit for Big-Tech Monopolists?)
[Jan. 26, 2025] - The Lure of the Unreal
[Jan. 24, 2025] - Astronomy
[Jan. 23, 2025] - Ta Ra Ra BOOM Dee, Eh? (Throne of Blood)
[Jan. 22, 2025] - Eaten By Eighths - A Ranting Full Stop...
[Jan. 21, 2025] - Rain On The Windshield Heading South
[Jan. 19, 2025] - Senses Working Overtime?
[Jan. 17, 2025] - The Hard-Wired Drop-Toad
[Jan. 16, 2025] - Molly Malone Works Alone
[Jan. 15, 2025] - May The Wind Take Your Bubbles Away!
[Jan. 13, 2025] - The Incredible Shrinking Internet
[Jan. 09, 2025] - Reviewing the "Enron Egg" - Portable Household Level Nuclear Reactor + Generator
[Jan. 07, 2025] - The Big Barkers of the "Big Tech" Grift
[Jan. 03, 2025] - Flaming Zepplins, Running 7's
[Jan. 01, 2025] - Back Online. We were knocked off by some sort of AWS (Amazon Web Services) policy
change or something, which prevented login to AWS Console, and also prevented access to our EC2 instance.
(our virtual server, running our website.) As of New Year's Day, it all
seems to be working again. I had planned to re-factor this messy website over the holidays, but lost
AWS access as of Christmas Eve. So much for "Cloud". We run local AI's, and wow - is local-system
operation the only way to go. If you surrender your control to some remote technical service, you
are taking a serious risk. See "Research Log" for more details...
[Dec. 24, 2024] - It Came Upon A Midnight Clear
[Dec. 20, 2024] - Your Baby's Gone Down the Plug-Hole
[Dec. 19, 2024] - Error 404 => Future Failure!
[Dec. 17-18, 2024] - Electro-Curious
[Dec. 16, 2024] - Are You Experienced?
[Dec. 12, 2024] - Cyber-Truckin! Really! I'm Most Grateful To Be Not Dead!
[Dec. 11, 2024] - Wayfaring Stranger
[Dec. 10, 2024] - Both Mother and Daughter
[Dec. 06, 2024] - Phasers on Stun
[Dec. 05, 2024] - On The Beach With Suzanne
[Dec. 04, 2024] - Getting It In the Ear - cf. Iggy Pop
[Dec. 03, 2024] - Green Onions - Roasted Or Fried
[Nov. 28, 2024] - Happy Thanksgiving (and a Note on Civil War)
[Nov. 25, 2024] - Atomic Balm
[Nov. 19, 2024] - Hey! Ho! - And Up She Rises!
[Nov. 18, 2024] - Riverboat Gambling...
[Nov. 17, 2024] - Member's Only (It's a Private Party)
[Nov. 15, 2024] - "Swingin'" - by Tom Petty
[Nov. 14, 2024] - Wild World ("Dreamscape Injection")
[Nov. 13, 2024] - Let's Do the (Linux) Time Warp Again!
[Nov. 12, 2024] - Walk the Dog
[Nov. 11, 2024] - Resilience Continued - How I Fixed CentOS-7 and Xorg Server So it Worked Again...
[Nov. 10, 2024] - Astrolabs and Resilience
[Nov. 07, 2024] - Hanging on the Telephone (or from the Telephone?)
[Nov. 06, 2024] - Venus on a Lox and Bagel... or Cities Aflame?
[Nov. 05, 2024] - Child (Just) In Time
[Nov. 04, 2024] - London Bridge is Falling Down
[Nov. 01, 2024] - A Plea in Favour of Market Transparency
[Oct. 31, 2024] - Leverage, Debt and the Floating World of Finance
[Oct. 29, 2024] - Samsung Galaxy Tab A9+ is actually pretty good. VLC works well.
[Oct. 27, 2024] - My Android Apps Loaded on new Samsung Tab A9+ ... Whoo-hoo!
[Oct. 25, 2024] - Clickbait and Real Estate
[Oct. 24, 2024] - The Astonishing Enshitification of Google's Android!
[Oct. 23, 2024] - The Golden Mean (and the Meaning of Gold)
[Oct. 22, 2024] - I Don't Like Mondays...
[Oct. 17, 2024] - Food and Money...
[Oct. 15-16, 2024] - Swim Out Past the Breakers...
[Oct. 09, 2024] - Desolation Row (And The Skank of Nova Scotia?)
[Oct. 08, 2024] - Dr. Geoffery Hinton Wins the Nobel Prize in Physics! Congratulations!
[Oct. 07, 2024] - A Note for You Who Seek the Truth.
[Oct. 06, 2024] - Elon Musk's Speech with Trump in PA. (You gotta watch this...)
[Oct. 05, 2024] - Amazon & EC2 (and this site!) working fine, and now https:// works...
[Oct. 01, 2024] - Fields of Regret?
[Sep. 27, 2024] - Message from the Lizard Brain
[Sep. 26, 2024] - The Devil's Blues (and the Mean-Reds, maybe?)
[Sep. 23, 2024] - Klatu, barada nicto, eh?
[Sep. 17-20, 2024] - Endless Summer
[Sep. 13, 2024] - Run... (Away?)
[Sept. 7, 2024] - Updated the GEMESYS AI projections for our main holding (see below)
[Sept. 6, 2024] - Robots Waving Arms
[Sept. 5, 2024] - Blue Skies
[Sept. 4, 2024] - Rover-Packs?
[Aug. 29, 2024] - Risk is Real
[Aug. 28, 2024] - Sheena is a Punk Rocker
[Aug. 23-24, 2024] - DDG versus Google, How Canada Got Born, Free Trade
[Aug. 22, 2024] - Long or Wrong...
[Aug. 21, 2024] - The Real War of the Coloured Swans
[Aug. 20, 2024] - Rather Hope I'm Wrong...
[Aug. 18, 2024] - The Plan for the Destruction of America?
[Aug. 17, 2024] - Worst Case Degenerate Economcy
[Aug. 16, 2024] - Debt Growth and De-coupling
[Aug. 12, 2024] - Insanity?
[Aug. 7, 2024] - Astronomy
[Aug. 6, 2024] - Markets Fibrillate. October Re-Pricing Expected. War-costs coming.
[Aug. 5, 2024] - Madness of Crowds Accelerates
[Aug. 1st, 2024] - A Very Good Speech
[July 30, 2024] - Overvaluation & The Best Trade Ever
[July 27, 2024] - Wheeee!
[July 25, 2024] - October Surprise?
[July 24, 2024] - Everything's Turning to Shit.
[July 23, 2024] - The Kamala Malady of Malfunctioning Malinvestments
[July 22, 2024] - The Essence of Science
[Update: 16:09 July 21, 2024] Just heard Biden dropped out. Our forecast was off by one day.
[July 21, 2024] - Hey Joe! Where You Going With That Ballot-box in Your Hand?
[July 19, 2024] - Sad Idiots at Crowdstrike Manage to Strike the Whole World, in Mass-Stupidity Deployment
[July 18, 2024] - "Tomorrow Belongs to Me!" (says the Maker-Kid with a Lathe, a Circuit-Board, and a Soldering Iron... )
[July 13, 2024] - Trump shot at rally in Butler Pennsylvania. Stood up, with blood on face and neck. Raised his fist.
[July 11-12, 2024 update:] AI projections negative, but trumped by mild inflation print.
The "Research Log" button has - the research log! You can follow our Perilous Experiments.
With the research log, and our videos, You can follow our Perilous Experiments!
Remember: "Vita Brevis, Ars Longa, Ocassio Praeceps, Experimentum Periculosum & Iudicium Difficile." (Trans: Life is short, Mastering the Art takes a Long Time, Opportunity is Fleeting and Falls Away Easily, Experimentation is Dangerous, and Judgement is Difficult.)
Page down to page-bottom, to see our forecasts from our AI, for one of our main holdings. The AI works better than the humans, which is
why AI is so popular. Humans are bad investors. They sell at the lows, and buy at the tops. The AI-driven model can do the opposite, since it has
no emotions. Simple as that, it is. [Update: New Projection as of March 19st, 2024 - page down to view]
More changes. This is our custom-built Python/NumPy based backpropagating neural-network, fabricated using the
matrix-math features of Python (works in both 2.7 and 3.x versions), and here
shows now a 5000-epoch training run, with completely different dataset.
Graphics show messy training that climbs with poro-poro (raining-down) drop-falls.
Although the model trains in a messy way, sliding
far off the optimum curve, it holds, and trains effectively. We can now get 80% accuracy, using an
economically restricted network, and retraining batchs allow overall accuracy to track around 70%,
which is good. And we can replicate the results - it is not just due to fortunate initial random weight
assignments.
(Click image to expand, ESC to exit (or click a hidden X at top right corner of image to close it)).
Everything Going to the Dogs...
I like dogs. Dogs that have been raised in a loving home have an honest beauty that is fine and refreshing. Even
dogs that have had hard lives, can be saved and helped. Be good to your dogs. They have real
integrity within their honest souls. Rescue a dog if you can. Dogs are good. And Lilly is lovely also!
[ Picture of Lily ... ]
Here is a picture of me and Lily, the Big Dog who is just a fine girl. She is so pretty!
She belongs to a friend and his partner, who have the big House of Perfect Beauty, in the
most lovely part of God's Country. Lily likes me, and I like her. But she is quite big for the lap. :)
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
[ The new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, o/s: Android-14, running the GEMESYS APL to produce the Mandelbrot Set graphic. ]
This shows the new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, running the GEMESYS APL, to produce an image of the Mandelbrot Set. The
image took over an hour to generate (the APL runs an emulator, on an emulator, under an emulator, so it is not
lightening fast. But the numbers are correct. Whoo hoo! The various GEMESYS APL's can be downloaded from the
GEMESYS Github site, and with "adb", the .apk files can still be loaded onto modern Android systems, if the
parameter "--bypass-low-target-sdk-block" is used. Assuming "adb" (running on your P/C under Linux or Windows)
reports a device name such as: R92X305A6JK, when you enter "./adb devices" to get a list of attached devices, then,
you can enter the "adb" command:
to load the .apk file. Note that R92X305A6JK is the device name, which will be different for each device.
There are two good APL's offered by GEMESYS Ltd, which are free, have no tracking, and no "in-app" adverts
or purchase trickery. They are experimental/educational software for learning purposes. The other
APL that is good, is the old I.P. Sharp APL, called: sAPL-release.apk. The APL .apk files and DOSbox can
be downloaded from the GEMESYS Github software repository. Here is the link below:
There is also a GNUplot Ver. 37, for quicky charting on your Android device, (Try: "Plot sin(x)" to demo it) and also
a version of DOSbox, which can be
downloaded and then installed with a USB tether to the Samsung Tab 9A+, using "adb", the "Android Debug Bridge" software.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
Click on the ** Research log ** button at top of page for more notes on our "Dismal-Science" view of things.
GEMESYS Ltd. Research & Consulting: We Live in Truth, Offer Enlightenment and if your projects and plans
are in trouble, we can help you Change the Program!. Make new choices while you still have freedom of action!
GEMESYS Ltd Research - *Fiat Lux*
...
[Feb. 04, 2025] - The Time of Madness ... The MPM medium-freq predictor is still pointing down,
but much less than it was. It was almost straight down, now has shifted to a just modest drift lower.
This is not to be considered an exercise in investment advice. Make your own decisions, please.
Banks in Canada risk-manage reasonably well, and have been paying roughly 40% to 50% of
their earnings out as dividends for a long time, so for low-to-mid-risk investors, they are pretty much
the best local game in town, if one wants to avoid currency risk. But the World is going crazy.
The drivers of this accelerating madness, is unclear. Perhaps it was the Covid-19 virus, and/or the mass
vaccine efforts? We do not know.
And yet in history, one sees these periods of collective insanity. It's actually pretty common. The
"Cultural Revolution" in China is a good example (again, we did direct research and know of what we
speak when we say it was pure insanity), and also the "French Revolution", where a similar madness took
control of an entire nation, and mass-murder became a political and cultural project. The rise of
European fascism in the 1930's, all across Europe (not just Germany), is another example, as is the
rise of the economic and totalitarian madness that was Marxist Communism. (England was not immune.
The rise of Oliver Cromwell, the rabid-moralistic "Pikers", the execution of King Charles the First,
and the English civil war that induced the initial colonization efforts to America, appears to be
another example.) Whole nations can go crazy, it seems.
(Click on any Image to expand it, ESC to exit image-expansion.)
[Feb. 04, 2025] - The AI's have been negative. The 7s Hi-freq. predictor is now pointing very slightly up.
These days, things are VERY unclear. We have **Political** risk like we have never had it before.
We also have a technical pattern that is strange - two huge air-gaps well above the 72 level, but a
classical "head-and-shoulders" pattern that is not good. The AI is actually calling for a constructive path,
which is unexpected.
This information is not "Investment or Trading Advice". It is simply an honest reporting of our research efforts.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
