We are now --> http://www.gemesysresearch.com
Transitioning to AWS (Amazon Web Services) remains an ongoing miserable work-in-progress. AWS is basically a wallet-mining
process, and their "security model" is a wet bag of poop. We need to buy hardware to have MFA work, or put apps on phones, so if you lose your
phone or it gets stolen, you cannot login to your AWS console! The whole TOTP access model is seriously stupid.
** NOTE**; AI forecasts UPDATED - *** 26-Feb-2025 *** , page down this page to see charts. **
These are curious times. USA Government is in a spiral-dive. Bad Moon Rising? (Don't go out tonite...) .\_/.
Click the "Research Log" to see daily log of research results and market comments.
[ Full Moonlight Over Emerald City ... ]
Experimental night-image taken with iPhone-12 camera, tweaked to higher-contrast, with golden-rectangle aspect ratio.
The weather is very warm, the full-moon is over the ranch, and the "Emerald City" looks lovely.
We are very lucky to live here. I understand why folks can feel the need to fight and die to protect their Homeland. :)
[ Projection Chart of 30-Year USA Government Bond Yields - January 1991 to March 2025 ]
This is the big chart that matters most. It's the yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds, from January 2, 1991 to March 6, 2025. You can see the long term trend, and then how the trend has turned, around the 2020/2021 time frame.
This is what should keep every long-term trader and government economist up at night. USA debt is rising still, and is now roughly 34+ trillion USA dollars. As old bonds mature and new issues are made, the interest-cost on all this borrowing is rising fast. Estimates now suggest the interest costs on existing debt is now well over $1 trillion/yr, and exceeds USA yearly military costs. CBO estimates indicate rising yields will add more than $300 hundred billion to USA debt-service costs over the next decade, for each one tenth of one percent rise in 10-year Treasury yields. But rising inflation will require higher yields, to bring it down. So the risk is for higher inflation AND higher yields. This is bad for equity markets.
The D.O.G.E is absolutedly necessary, regardless of who is president. USA must put it's house in order, before either the bond market breaks, or the US currency cracks. Or maybe both happen, at the same time. USA is still crazy rich and wildly successful. But once you are on the top of the mountain - any path you take, will lead down, if you are not careful.
[ China Girl - from Norinco Corporation ]
Picture of my Norinco unit - I call her "China Girl".
She is a lovely clone of the Czech CZ-75 (have a few of those also...), and she shows just how far advanced Chinese manufacturing has come. She is built like a Mercedes used to be - very well made, very solid, all the parts fit well, and the fit-and-finish is very good. And never a malfunction. Reliability is the key measure of any technology.
Some people like to slag Chinese technology, but I find it to be pretty damn good. The Chinese have built their own version of the Northrop/Grumman B-21, and they have shown it flying. It's not just talk (like in Russia), but is an actual flying prototype (What they used to call in the USA, a "Y"-model). The East is Rising?
Curious times. Canada and Mexico and China and Europe (and even Russia), only have to just wait. And maybe not too long.
[ The Curious Nature of War. It Brings Rapid Technological Improvement ]
Picture of my father's Bristol-Bolingbroke Bomber Trainer from World-War Two. These aircraft were used in Canada as training aircraft, to teach bomber crews how to drop bombs on European targets. These aircraft were also used for maritime patrol and homeland defence. They were licensed built in Canada, by Fairchild-Canada, to replicate the design of the Bristol Blenheim fighter-bomber, which was an English designed aircraft. They were set up for training with cameras, and my father would teach his students how to "camera-bomb" targets around Algonquin Park.
War is exciting, but it also destroys beautiful cities, and the lives of those who live there. But fear-of-war must not make free people accept illegal, murderous aggression. Putin must withdraw from Ukraine, and Trump must honor the North American Trade Pact that he himself negotiated and ratified. If this does not happen - then war (kinetic or trade) is needed, necessary, and inevitable.
Powerful leaders who break their promises, are the real authors of war.
Research log updates:... (click "Research Log" above to jump to the log-page)
[Mar. 29, 2025] - #^*% AWS And It's Stupid MFA Gunk
[Mar. 28, 2025] - Bad Moon Rising?
[Mar. 27, 2025] - MAGA = Make America Go Away!
[Mar. 26, 2025] - Ranchero!
[Mar. 25, 2025] - The Death Cross or the Cross of Death?
[Mar. 20, 2025] - Spring Annihilates Winter
[Mar. 18, 2025] - Crazy Freakin' Hypershite
[Mar. 17, 2025] - Happy St. Patrick's Day
[Mar. 16, 2025] - USA - So Very Special...
[Mar. 15, 2025] - The Ides of March
[Mar. 14b, 2025] - Lunar Eclipse and Fun With Nucleoprotein Chemistry
[Mar. 14a, 2025] - This Really is Getting Crazy...
[Mar. 13, 2025] - Pogue Mahone!
[Mar. 12, 2025] - The Bay of Jigs...
[Mar. 11, 2025] - Donald Trump Might Actually Be Insane
[Mar. 10, 2025] - Always Crashing In The Same Car
[Mar. 09, 2025] - Killing Me Softly...
[Mar. 07, 2025] - World Out of Balance
[Mar. 06, 2025] - New Theme: "America can go Fuck Itself!"
[Mar. 04, 2025] - Madness Takes It's Toll...
[Feb. 28, 2025] - One Hand is on the Tight-rope Walker ...
[Feb. 27, 2025] - The AI Says Up. We Find This Hard to Believe...
[Feb. 26, 2025] - A Garbage Market, or a Market of Garbage?
[Feb. 25, 2025] - The Price of Foolish Failure
[Feb. 21, 2025] - Pricing In the Coming Storm
[Feb. 20, 2025] - Life on Mars...
[Feb. 19, 2025] - The Coming Storm - or - Roll Away the Stone?
[Feb. 18, 2025] - The Low Spark of Well-Heeled Boys
[Feb. 14, 2025] - Grand Illusion and Black, Black Hearts
[Feb. 12, 2025] - Weather From Hell
[Feb. 07, 2025] - In the Deep, Deep Mud...
[Feb. 06, 2025] - In-Sanity In-Charge?
[Feb. 05, 2025] - Changes
[Feb. 04, 2025] - Life in the End Times? Perhaps.
[Feb. 03, 2025] - Donald Trump Attempts to Destroy the North American Economy. Hilarious!
[Feb. 02, 2025] - The Time of The Great Stupid!
[Feb. 01, 2025] - A Comedy of Errors
[Jan. 31, 2025] - Cute Winter Boots And The Drop-Toad
[Jan. 30, 2025] - Crazy Dancing IP Numbers!
[Jan. 29, 2025] - Enjoy Yourself, It's Later Than You Think!
[Jan. 27, 2025] - DeepSeek R1 for US! (Deepshit for Big-Tech Monopolists?)
[Jan. 26, 2025] - The Lure of the Unreal
[Jan. 24, 2025] - Astronomy
[Jan. 23, 2025] - Ta Ra Ra BOOM Dee, Eh? (Throne of Blood)
[Jan. 22, 2025] - Eaten By Eighths - A Ranting Full Stop...
[Jan. 21, 2025] - Rain On The Windshield Heading South
[Jan. 19, 2025] - Senses Working Overtime?
[Jan. 17, 2025] - The Hard-Wired Drop-Toad
[Jan. 16, 2025] - Molly Malone Works Alone
[Jan. 15, 2025] - May The Wind Take Your Bubbles Away!
[Jan. 13, 2025] - The Incredible Shrinking Internet
[Jan. 09, 2025] - Reviewing the "Enron Egg" - Portable Household Level Nuclear Reactor + Generator
[Jan. 07, 2025] - The Big Barkers of the "Big Tech" Grift
[Jan. 03, 2025] - Flaming Zepplins, Running 7's
[Jan. 01, 2025] - Back Online. We were knocked off by some sort of AWS (Amazon Web Services) policy
change or something, which prevented login to AWS Console, and also prevented access to our EC2 instance.
(our virtual server, running our website.) As of New Year's Day, it all
seems to be working again. I had planned to re-factor this messy website over the holidays, but lost
AWS access as of Christmas Eve. So much for "Cloud". We run local AI's, and wow - is local-system
operation the only way to go. If you surrender your control to some remote technical service, you
are taking a serious risk. See "Research Log" for more details...
[Dec. 24, 2024] - It Came Upon A Midnight Clear
[Dec. 20, 2024] - Your Baby's Gone Down the Plug-Hole
[Dec. 19, 2024] - Error 404 => Future Failure!
[Dec. 17-18, 2024] - Electro-Curious
[Dec. 16, 2024] - Are You Experienced?
[Dec. 12, 2024] - Cyber-Truckin! Really! I'm Most Grateful To Be Not Dead!
[Dec. 11, 2024] - Wayfaring Stranger
[Dec. 10, 2024] - Both Mother and Daughter
[Dec. 06, 2024] - Phasers on Stun
[Dec. 05, 2024] - On The Beach With Suzanne
[Dec. 04, 2024] - Getting It In the Ear - cf. Iggy Pop
[Dec. 03, 2024] - Green Onions - Roasted Or Fried
[Nov. 28, 2024] - Happy Thanksgiving (and a Note on Civil War)
[Nov. 25, 2024] - Atomic Balm
[Nov. 19, 2024] - Hey! Ho! - And Up She Rises!
[Nov. 18, 2024] - Riverboat Gambling...
[Nov. 17, 2024] - Member's Only (It's a Private Party)
[Nov. 15, 2024] - "Swingin'" - by Tom Petty
[Nov. 14, 2024] - Wild World ("Dreamscape Injection")
[Nov. 13, 2024] - Let's Do the (Linux) Time Warp Again!
[Nov. 12, 2024] - Walk the Dog
[Nov. 11, 2024] - Resilience Continued - How I Fixed CentOS-7 and Xorg Server So it Worked Again...
[Nov. 10, 2024] - Astrolabs and Resilience
[Nov. 07, 2024] - Hanging on the Telephone (or from the Telephone?)
[Nov. 06, 2024] - Venus on a Lox and Bagel... or Cities Aflame?
[Nov. 05, 2024] - Child (Just) In Time
[Nov. 04, 2024] - London Bridge is Falling Down
[Nov. 01, 2024] - A Plea in Favour of Market Transparency
[Oct. 31, 2024] - Leverage, Debt and the Floating World of Finance
[Oct. 29, 2024] - Samsung Galaxy Tab A9+ is actually pretty good. VLC works well.
[Oct. 27, 2024] - My Android Apps Loaded on new Samsung Tab A9+ ... Whoo-hoo!
[Oct. 25, 2024] - Clickbait and Real Estate
[Oct. 24, 2024] - The Astonishing Enshitification of Google's Android!
[Oct. 23, 2024] - The Golden Mean (and the Meaning of Gold)
[Oct. 22, 2024] - I Don't Like Mondays...
[Oct. 17, 2024] - Food and Money...
[Oct. 15-16, 2024] - Swim Out Past the Breakers...
[Oct. 09, 2024] - Desolation Row (And The Skank of Nova Scotia?)
[Oct. 08, 2024] - Dr. Geoffery Hinton Wins the Nobel Prize in Physics! Congratulations!
[Oct. 07, 2024] - A Note for You Who Seek the Truth.
[Oct. 06, 2024] - Elon Musk's Speech with Trump in PA. (You gotta watch this...)
[Oct. 05, 2024] - Amazon & EC2 (and this site!) working fine, and now https:// works...
[Oct. 01, 2024] - Fields of Regret?
[Sep. 27, 2024] - Message from the Lizard Brain
[Sep. 26, 2024] - The Devil's Blues (and the Mean-Reds, maybe?)
[Sep. 23, 2024] - Klatu, barada nicto, eh?
[Sep. 17-20, 2024] - Endless Summer
[Sep. 13, 2024] - Run... (Away?)
[Sept. 7, 2024] - Updated the GEMESYS AI projections for our main holding (see below)
[Sept. 6, 2024] - Robots Waving Arms
[Sept. 5, 2024] - Blue Skies
[Sept. 4, 2024] - Rover-Packs?
[Aug. 29, 2024] - Risk is Real
[Aug. 28, 2024] - Sheena is a Punk Rocker
[Aug. 23-24, 2024] - DDG versus Google, How Canada Got Born, Free Trade
[Aug. 22, 2024] - Long or Wrong...
[Aug. 21, 2024] - The Real War of the Coloured Swans
[Aug. 20, 2024] - Rather Hope I'm Wrong...
[Aug. 18, 2024] - The Plan for the Destruction of America?
[Aug. 17, 2024] - Worst Case Degenerate Economcy
[Aug. 16, 2024] - Debt Growth and De-coupling
[Aug. 12, 2024] - Insanity?
[Aug. 7, 2024] - Astronomy
[Aug. 6, 2024] - Markets Fibrillate. October Re-Pricing Expected. War-costs coming.
[Aug. 5, 2024] - Madness of Crowds Accelerates
[Aug. 1st, 2024] - A Very Good Speech
[July 30, 2024] - Overvaluation & The Best Trade Ever
[July 27, 2024] - Wheeee!
[July 25, 2024] - October Surprise?
[July 24, 2024] - Everything's Turning to Shit.
[July 23, 2024] - The Kamala Malady of Malfunctioning Malinvestments
[July 22, 2024] - The Essence of Science
[Update: 16:09 July 21, 2024] Just heard Biden dropped out. Our forecast was off by one day.
[July 21, 2024] - Hey Joe! Where You Going With That Ballot-box in Your Hand?
[July 19, 2024] - Sad Idiots at Crowdstrike Manage to Strike the Whole World, in Mass-Stupidity Deployment
[July 18, 2024] - "Tomorrow Belongs to Me!" (says the Maker-Kid with a Lathe, a Circuit-Board, and a Soldering Iron... )
[July 13, 2024] - Trump shot at rally in Butler Pennsylvania. Stood up, with blood on face and neck. Raised his fist.
[July 11-12, 2024 update:] AI projections negative, but trumped by mild inflation print.
The "Research Log" button has - the research log! You can follow our Perilous Experiments.
With the research log, and our videos, You can follow our Perilous Experiments!
Remember: "Vita Brevis, Ars Longa, Ocassio Praeceps, Experimentum Periculosum & Iudicium Difficile." (Trans: Life is short, Mastering the Art takes a Long Time, Opportunity is Fleeting and Falls Away Easily, Experimentation is Dangerous, and Judgement is Difficult.)
Page down to page-bottom, to see our forecasts from our AI, for one of our main holdings. The AI works better than the humans, which is why AI is so popular. Humans are bad investors. They sell at the lows, and buy at the tops. The AI-driven model can do the opposite, since it has no emotions. Simple as that, it is. [Update: New Projection as of March 19st, 2024 - page down to view]
(Note: If you are running an OLD browser, and this button does not work, you can view our Research Log page by clicking on: http://www.gemesysresearch.com/Gemesys_Page_2.html )
More changes. This is our custom-built Python/NumPy based backpropagating neural-network, fabricated using the matrix-math features of Python (works in both 2.7 and 3.x versions), and here shows now a 5000-epoch training run, with completely different dataset. Graphics show messy training that climbs with poro-poro (raining-down) drop-falls. Although the model trains in a messy way, sliding far off the optimum curve, it holds, and trains effectively. We can now get 80% accuracy, using an economically restricted network, and retraining batchs allow overall accuracy to track around 70%, which is good. And we can replicate the results - it is not just due to fortunate initial random weight assignments. (Click image to expand, ESC to exit (or click a hidden X at top right corner of image to close it)).
I like dogs. Dogs that have been raised in a loving home have an honest beauty that is fine and refreshing. Even dogs that have had hard lives, can be saved and helped. Be good to your dogs. They have real integrity within their honest souls. Rescue a dog if you can. Dogs are good. And Lilly is lovely also!
[ Picture of Lily ... ]
Here is a picture of me and Lily, the Big Dog who is just a fine girl. She is so pretty!
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
[ The new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, o/s: Android-14, running the GEMESYS APL to produce the Mandelbrot Set graphic. ]
This shows the new Samsung Galaxy Tab 9A+, running the GEMESYS APL, to produce an image of the Mandelbrot Set. The
image took over an hour to generate (the APL runs an emulator, on an emulator, under an emulator, so it is not
lightening fast. But the numbers are correct. Whoo hoo! The various GEMESYS APL's can be downloaded from the
GEMESYS Github site, and with "adb", the .apk files can still be loaded onto modern Android systems, if the
parameter "--bypass-low-target-sdk-block" is used. Assuming "adb" (running on your P/C under Linux or Windows)
reports a device name such as: R92X305A6JK, when you enter "./adb devices" to get a list of attached devices, then,
you can enter the "adb" command:
./adb -s R92X305A6JK install --bypass-low-target-sdk-block APLse-release.apk
to load the .apk file. Note that R92X305A6JK is the device name, which will be different for each device.
There are two good APL's offered by GEMESYS Ltd, which are free, have no tracking, and no "in-app" adverts
or purchase trickery. They are experimental/educational software for learning purposes. The other
APL that is good, is the old I.P. Sharp APL, called: sAPL-release.apk. The APL .apk files and DOSbox can
be downloaded from the GEMESYS Github software repository. Here is the link below:
https://github.com/Gemesys/gemesys_repository
There is also a GNUplot Ver. 37, for quicky charting on your Android device, (Try: "Plot sin(x)" to demo it) and also a version of DOSbox, which can be downloaded and then installed with a USB tether to the Samsung Tab 9A+, using "adb", the "Android Debug Bridge" software.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
Click on the ** Research log ** button at top of page for more notes on our "Dismal-Science" view of things.
GEMESYS Ltd. Research & Consulting: We Live in Truth, Offer Enlightenment and if your projects and plans
are in trouble, we can help you Change the Program!. Make new choices while you still have freedom of action!
GEMESYS Ltd Research - *Fiat Lux*
[Feb. 27, 2025] - The Time of Madness ... The MPM medium-freq predictor is now signaling an upturn.
This is not to be considered an exercise in investment advice. Make your own decisions, please.
Banks in Canada risk-manage reasonably well, and have been paying roughly 40% to 50% of their earnings out as dividends for a long time, so for low-to-mid-risk investors, they are pretty much the best local game in town, if one wants to avoid currency risk. But the World is going crazy. The drivers of this accelerating madness, is unclear. Perhaps it was the Covid-19 virus, and/or the mass vaccine efforts? We do not know.
(Click on any Image to expand it, ESC to exit image-expansion.)
[Feb. 27, 2025] - The AI's were negative. But they now both point up. The 7s Hi-freq. predictor is signalling solid upturn.
These days, things are VERY unclear. We have **Political** risk like we have never had it before.
We also have a technical pattern that is strange - two huge air-gaps well above the 72 level, but a
classical "head-and-shoulders" pattern that is not good. The AI is actually calling for a constructive path,
which is unexpected.
This information is not "Investment or Trading Advice". It is simply an honest reporting of our research efforts.
(Click on image to expand it, and ESC to exit expanded image.)
